Package: PRA 0.7.0

Introduction | Schedule and Cost Uncertainty | Second Moment Method | Monte Carlo Simulation | Numerical Validation | Contingency Analysis | Sensitivity Analysis | Earned Value Management | Learning Curves | Noisy-OR Risk Inference | Prior Risk Probability | Posterior Risk Probability | Probabilistic Networks | Building a Network | Learning: Conditioning on Evidence | Intervention: The do-Operator | When Seeing and Doing Diverge | Ranking Risks by Intervention | Dependency Structure Analysis | Design Structure Matrices | Model Context Protocol Integration | Illustrative Case Study | Step 1: Characterize Task Uncertainty | Step 2: Rank Risk Drivers | Step 3: Monitor Earned Value at Mid-Project | Step 4: Forecast Cost at Completion | Step 5: Update Risk Probability After Site Inspection | Step 6: Propagate Cost Through the Network | Step 7: Identify Coupled Tasks via DSM | Summary | Limitations and Future Work | Computational details | References